How big this market is, as its publishers state it
as of Sep 30, 2026 · 19 figures carried1 publisher carried, 2020–2034, 1 with a published outlook, the furthest to 2034. Figures are the publishers' own, shown side by side and never averaged.
Last read Sep 30, 2026: wrote 4 figures and 2 stated rates, refused 5 already stored.
Forge measures none of this. A statistical body publishes the history and its own outlook; Forge copies the figures with the sentence each came from and refreshes once a year, when the publishers do. A growing market says you are not building into a headwind — it says nothing about whether this application has customers.
Where its publishers say it is going
- $9.00 tnby 2034 · Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services’s outlook, published 20265.3 % a year from $5.66 tn in 2025, implied by its own two figures
Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services: projects to 2034 from 2025, its last observed year — 5.3 % a year implied by its own two figures; Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services itself states 5.4 % a year over 2025–2034.
In Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services’s words, 2025–2034 (published 2026): NHEs continue to grow faster than both inflation and the economy, growing 7.3% from 2024 to 2025 and projected to grow an average of 5.4% annually from 2025 to 2034. source
In Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services’s words, 2029–2034 (published 2026): During 2029–34, national health expenditure growth is projected to average 5.2 percent, reaching nearly $9.0 trillion by 2034 source
- Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services· outlook dashed
Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services: grew 6.4 % a year, 2020–2025, by its own figures.
| Year | Figure | Kind | Published | In the publisher’s words |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $4.15 tn | history | 2024 (+1 earlier) | NHE | $3,446.4 | $3,603.8 | $3,762.1 | $4,153.9 | $4,327.7 | $4,525.8 | $4,866.5As the read noted: Read from Health Affairs citing CMS table; CMS.gov primary page not directly retrieved. source |
| 2021 | $4.33 tn | history | 2024 (+1 earlier) | NHE | $3,446.4 | $3,603.8 | $3,762.1 | $4,153.9 | $4,327.7 | $4,525.8 | $4,866.5As the read noted: Read from Health Affairs citing CMS table. source |
| 2022 | $4.53 tn | history | 2025 (+2 earlier) | NHE · $4,525.8As the read noted: Figure from Health Affairs table reproducing CMS Office of the Actuary NHE Projections 2024-33 report; sourceUrl is the article quoting CMS's own table. source |
| 2023 | $4.90 tn | history | 2025 (+1 earlier) | U.S. health care spending grew 7.5 percent in 2023, reaching $4.9 trillion or $14,570 per person. source |
| 2024 | $5.30 tn | history | 2026 (+1 earlier) | NHE grew 7.2% to $5.3 trillion in 2024, or $15,474 per person, and accounted for 18.0% of Gross Domestic Product (GDP). source |
| 2025 | $5.66 tn | history | 2026 | NHE, billions · $5,278.6 · $5,661.7 · $6,017.4 · $6,627.1 · $8,970.3 source |
| 2026 | $6.02 tn | Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services’s outlook | 2026 (+1 earlier) | NHE, billions · $5,278.6 · $5,661.7 · $6,017.4 · $6,627.1 · $8,970.3As the read noted: Figure for 2026 ($6,017.4 billion) is from Exhibit 1 of the CMS actuaries' projections article; corroborated by AHA summary stating spending 'will grow to $6.0 trillion in 2026.' source |
| 2028 | $6.63 tn | Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services’s outlook | 2026 | NHE, billions · $5,278.6 · $5,661.7 · $6,017.4 · $6,627.1 · $8,970.3As the read noted: Interim year beyond 2026 included per instructions on outlook years beyond the requested window. source |
| 2030 | $6.80 tn | Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services’s outlook | 2022 | annual growth in national health spending is expected to average 5.1% over 2021-2030, and to reach nearly $6.8 trillion by 2030 source |
| 2033 | $8.59 tn | Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services’s outlook | 2025 | NHE · $8,585.3As the read noted: Figure from Health Affairs table reproducing CMS Office of the Actuary NHE Projections 2024-33 report; sourceUrl is the article quoting CMS's own table. source |
| 2034 | $9.00 tn | Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services’s outlook | 2026 | By 2034, national health spending is projected to total nearly $9.0 trillion and to represent 20.6 percent of the economyAs the read noted: Figure from Health Affairs article presenting CMS Office of the Actuary's NHE Projections, 2025-34 report; sourceUrl is the article quoting CMS's projection. source |
Healthcare elsewhere
The same industry as other publishers state it for their own place. Each figure is its publisher’s frame; none is compared with another.
- Healthcareworldwide$9.80 tn2022 · World Health OrganizationNo outlook published by World Health Organizationas of Sep 30, 2026
- HealthcareEuropean Union€1.72 tn2023 · EurostatNo outlook published by Eurostatas of Sep 30, 2026
- HealthcareUnited KingdomGB£345.0 bn2025 · Office for National StatisticsNo outlook published by Office for National Statisticsas of Sep 30, 2026
- HealthcareCzechiaCZCZK 696.7 bn2024 · Czech Statistical OfficeNo outlook published by Czech Statistical Officeas of Sep 30, 2026
Other markets in North America
What else the yearly read measures in this region.
- Software publishingUnited StatesUS$552.2 bn2024 · U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · +1 more, never averaged$896.1 bn by 2034 · 5.0 % a year · U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics’s outlookas of Sep 30, 2026
- IT servicesUnited StatesUS$799.0 bn2024 · U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · +1 more, never averaged$1.10 tn by 2034 · 3.2 % a year · U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics’s outlookas of Sep 30, 2026
- E-commerceUnited StatesUS$1.23 tn2025 · U.S. Census BureauNo outlook published by U.S. Census Bureauas of Sep 30, 2026
- EnergyUnited StatesUSRead Sep 30, 2026, nothing quotable foundRead from U.S. Energy Information Administration
- AutomotiveUnited StatesUS$754.4 bn2025 · U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis · +1 more, never averagedNo outlook published by U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysisas of Sep 30, 2026
- EducationUnited StatesUS$1.60 tn2022 · National Center for Education StatisticsNo outlook published by National Center for Education Statisticsas of Sep 30, 2026
- Construction and real estateUnited StatesUS$2.16 tn2025 · FMI · +2 more, never averaged$2.70 tn by 2030 · 4.5 % a year · FMI’s outlookas of Sep 30, 2026
- Advertising and mediaUnited StatesUS$294.6 bn2025 · Interactive Advertising Bureau · +1 more, never averagedNo outlook published by Interactive Advertising Bureauas of Sep 30, 2026
- Financial servicesUnited StatesUS$3.29 tn2025 · U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics$3.92 tn by 2035 · 1.8 % a year · U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics’s outlookas of Sep 30, 2026
- Software and ITCanadaCACAD 161.9 bn2024 · Statistics CanadaNo outlook published by Statistics Canadaas of Sep 5, 2026