Market size · worldwide

AI (worldwide)

Spending on artificial intelligence systems, models and the software built on them.

Forge’s own description of what this market covers. A ruler for the size of a market, read once a year from the publishers below — it holds no sector and no company.

As its publishers state it

$1.79 tn2025 · Gartner · USD$3.64 tn by 2027 · 42.5 % a year — Gartner’s outlook, not Forge’s
$235.0 bn2024 · IDC · USD$1.30 tn by 2029 · 40.8 % a year — IDC’s outlook, not Forge’s

As of Sep 30, 2026 · 13 figures carried · never averaged, never Forge’s.

How big this market is, as its publishers state it

as of Sep 30, 2026 · 13 figures carried

2 publishers carried, 2023–2029, 2 with a published outlook, the furthest to 2029. Figures are the publishers' own, shown side by side and never averaged.

Last read Sep 30, 2026: wrote 1 figure and 2 stated rates, refused 3 already stored.

Forge measures none of this. A statistical body publishes the history and its own outlook; Forge copies the figures with the sentence each came from and refreshes once a year, when the publishers do. A growing market says you are not building into a headwind — it says nothing about whether this application has customers.

Where its publishers say it is going

  • $3.64 tnby 2027 · Gartner’s outlook, published 202642.5 % a year from $1.79 tn in 2025, implied by its own two figures

    Gartner: projects to 2027 from 2025, its last observed year — 42.5 % a year implied by its own two figures; Gartner itself states 36.2 % a year over 2026–2027.

    In Gartner’s words, 2026–2027 (published 2026): Worldwide AI spending will increase 49.5% in 2026, to $2.7 trillion, and grow another 36.2% in 2027 source

  • $1.30 tnby 2029 · IDC’s outlook, published 202540.8 % a year from $235.0 bn in 2024, implied by its own two figures

    IDC: projects to 2029 from 2024, its last observed year — 40.8 % a year implied by its own two figures; IDC itself states 29.0 % a year over 2024–2028.

    In IDC’s words, 2024–2028 (published 2024): a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 29.0% over the 2024-2028 forecast period source

  • Gartner· outlook dashed
  • IDC· outlook dashed
GartnerUSD · latest release 2026 · outlook after 2025

Gartner: one observed year (2025), too short to state a rate.

YearFigureKindPublishedIn the publisher’s words
2025$1.79 tnhistory2026Gartner now expects worldwide AI spending to increase 49.5% this year, from about $1.79 trillion in 2025 to $2.67 trillion in 2026.As the read noted: Figure attributed to Gartner's September 2026 forecast update, read via THE Journal article quoting Gartner; could not confirm Gartner's own press-release page for this exact figure. source
2026$2.59 tnGartner’s outlook2026 (+1 earlier)Worldwide spending on AI is forecast to total $2.59 trillion in 2026, a 47% increase year-over-year, according to Gartner, Inc.As the read noted: Newest Gartner release for 2026 (May 2026, $2.59T), superseding the earlier January 2026 release which had forecast $2.52T for 2026. source
2027$3.64 tnGartner’s outlook2026Total AI Spending | 1,786,671 | 2,670,460 | 3,637,292 source
IDCUSD · latest release 2026 · outlook after 2024

IDC: 2023–2024 is too short to state a rate.

YearFigureKindPublishedIn the publisher’s words
2023$166.0 bnhistory2023enterprises worldwide are expected to invest $166 billion on AI solutions in 2023.As the read noted: From IDC's Worldwide Semiannual AI Systems Spending Guide, 2023 (V2), as quoted in an IDC FutureScape PDF. source
2024$235.0 bnhistory2024Organizations were projected to spend $235 billion on AI in 2024, the baseline year for IDC's spending guide.As the read noted: Figure attributed to IDC's 2024 Worldwide AI and Generative AI Spending Guide; read via a third-party page (sqmagazine.co.uk) that quotes IDC, not IDC's own page directly. source
2026$497.0 bnIDC’s outlook2026IDC raised its full-year 2026 forecast to $497 billion on hyperscaler capex growth and emerging non-GPU AI demand.As the read noted: This is from IDC's Worldwide Quarterly AI Infrastructure Tracker (AI infrastructure hardware only, not the full AI spending guide series covering software/services). source
2027$423.0 bnIDC’s outlook2023This spending is expected to grow to $423 billion at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 26.9%As the read noted: Same IDC Worldwide Semiannual AI Systems Spending Guide, 2023 (V2) release; figure for 2027 endpoint of forecast. source
2028$632.0 bnIDC’s outlook2025 (+1 earlier)Worldwide spending on artificial intelligence (AI), including AI-enabled applications, infrastructure, and related IT and business services, will grow by more than 29% annually at least through 2028 and reach a value of $632 billionAs the read noted: Sourced via Computerworld's reporting of IDC's Worldwide AI and Generative AI Spending Guide; IDC's own press release (my.idc.com) carries the same $632B/2028 figure but the Computerworld article was used as it quotes the guide verbatim. source
2029$1.30 tnIDC’s outlook2025This investment, driven by the growth of Agentic AI-enabled applications and systems to manage agentic fleets, will reach $1.3 trillion in 2029.As the read noted: From IDC's Worldwide Artificial Intelligence IT Spending Market Forecast (a different, broader IDC AI IT spending series than the AI and GenAI Spending Guide). source

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